Probable Scenario Analysis for the 25th of May 2026. The day is Monday. (1) Bullish Scenario: A confident bullish set-up would emerge when the price decisively starts trading above the level of 76000. The probable bullish targets above the level 76000 would be – 76250, 76500, 76750, and 77000. (2) Bearish Scenario: A bearish set-up would activate once the price decisively starts trading below the level 75000. Confident bulls would exit their position once the 75000 level becomes a resistance. In this case, the bearish targets would be – 74750 and 74500. Next, if the level 74500 is broken, then the probable bearish targets would be – 74250 and 74000. The zone (74250 – 74000) would act as the last hope for the bulls. Lastly, if the price starts to trade below the level 74000, then we can expect a freefall. (3) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (76000 – 75000). Here, the zone (76000 – 75750) would act as a strong resistance zone . The zone (75250 – 75000) would act as a strong support zone . Price needs to break out or break down from this zone to offer trend clarity. (4) Range of Consolidation (ROC): (76000 – 74000). Here, level 75000 is the mid-level of the ROC. The more time, the price stays above 75000, the more chance there is for the price to break out above the level 76000. However, if the price sustains below the level of 75000, then there is a higher probability for the price to follow a bearish trend. Unfortunately, price has been trading in the ROC for the past 8 days. Here, patience is the key. (5) Event: No high-impact event. However, Tuesday and Wednesday (the days after the 25th of May) would be back-to-back monthly expiries . It is a national holiday on 28th May (Thursday). It means we can expect a price anomaly . Lastly, geopolitical issues are omnipresent. (6) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price. Top-Down Analysis: (1) Monthly TF: A red spinning top candle inside the green spinning top candle of the previous month. It looks like a ‘harami’ pattern. But we don’t know which side the market is planning to move. The view is indecision. (2) Weekly TF: A green spinning top candle with a very small body formed inside the previous month’s red hammer candle. The lower-lows and lower-highs structure is still intact. Unless the price starts to trade above the level 76000, we cannot have bullish faith. However, price is also defending the 74000. The view is indecision to bearish. (3) Daily TF: It is a flat correction market. We cannot analyze anything from the price structure. Level 76000 is a strong resistance. Level 75000 is a strong support. The view is indecision to bearish. (4) 30-minute TF: We cannot say anything as the price is stagnant in the range (76000 – 75000). It is trading in the no trading zone. We have to wait for a range breakout or breakdown. The view is super-indecision. NOTE: (i) All the analyses would fail in the case of a major gap up, gap down, or price structure anomaly. Thus, practice PRAGMATISM in the live session. (ii) Trade only if there is a setup. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Always PRACTICE RISK MANAGEMENT. Always PROTECT your CAPITAL . Be RESPONSIBLE. (iii) Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is GOD. Plan your trade, trade your plan. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe. (iv) Be Strategic. Be Courageous. Be Patient. Be Wise. (v) Every day is a new day. Thus, do not carry the baggage of past successes or failures. Always trade from a new perspective. The joy of trading should drive effectiveness. Believe in Possibilities. Happy Trading!
